Market integrity at the centre of the CFTC's first 2026 warning on predicate markets
14.03.2026 (09:01)
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued its first official guidance in 2026 on prediction markets and trading in so-called event contracts - financial instruments that allow you to bet on the outcome of various events.
The regulator said the document aims to provide market participants, lawyers and other stakeholders with clarification on how event contracts should be listed and traded.
Concerns about insider trading
In early 2026, suspicions grew about the possible use of insider information in the prediction markets. Among the events discussed were contracts related to:
Journalist McKay Coppins conducted an experiment by betting on sporting events in the US.
At the NEXT NYC conference, Chris Grove discussed the potential for M&A to improve products in prediction markets.
Predictive markets platform Kalshi has announced the launch of its service in Brazil, marking the company's first foray into the international market.
Illinois lawmakers have introduced a new bill aimed at regulating prediction markets.
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